Research workspace/Command Center
MODEL ONLINE
EXPLAINABLE AI / RESEARCH STUDIO PROJECT 36

Make every prediction
explainable.

Inspect model reasoning, verify feature influence, find actionable counterfactuals, and audit subgroup behavior in one transparent, reproducible workspace.

LOCAL ATTRIBUTIONCOUNTERFACTUALSMODEL AUDITS
Transparent additive logistic model · synthetic evaluation data
360 synthetic records
MODEL INTELLIGENCE

Command Center

One observable prediction with a complete audit trail.

PREDICTED RISK
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MODEL REFERENCE RISK
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At reference feature values
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VALIDATION ROC AUC
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Synthetic evaluation sample
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BRIER ERROR
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Lower means better
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LOCAL ATTRIBUTION

What drives this prediction?

LOG-ODDS

Positive drivers increase risk, negative drivers reduce it. Contributions add exactly to the model log-odds.

LIVE INPUTS

Adjust model signals

INTERACTIVE
METHOD NOTE: This is a transparent, illustrative risk model evaluated on synthetic data. Explanations describe the model's mathematics, not proven causes in the real world.
INSTANCE-LEVEL INSPECTION

Local Explanations

Trace every feature to the predicted result.

EXACT ATTRIBUTION

Signed contribution breakdown

ADDITIVE
SINGLE-INPUT SENSITIVITY

Feature response

Curve: model response while holding all other inputs fixed. This is not a causal effect.
MODEL TRANSPARENCY

Complete model formula

Every feature contributes its coefficient times a centered, scaled input. The logistic function converts total log-odds into probability.

DATASET-LEVEL INSPECTION

Global Importance

Contrast out-of-sample permutation impact with feature dependence.

PERMUTATION IMPORTANCE

Change in Brier loss

4 REPEATS
Each variable is shuffled across evaluation records. Positive deltas mean worse predictive error after shuffling.
MARGINAL RESPONSE

Partial dependence + ICE

Average predicted risk Individual responses (ICE)
These are model responses on a synthetic evaluation sample, not intervention effects.
ACTIONABLE SCENARIOS

Counterfactual Lab

Discover the smallest modeled changes that meet a target risk.

TARGET CONFIGURATION

Risk reduction planner

5%80%

Searches changes to one or two actionable inputs. Immutable signals are never modified.

OPTIMIZED PROPOSAL

Recommended scenario to test

SEGMENT-LEVEL MONITORING

Group Diagnostics

Inspect subgroup performance differences without hiding sample sizes.

SEGMENT AUDIT

Evaluation by group

OBSERVATIONAL
GroupRecordsActual rateMean riskBrier ↓ROC AUC ↑Recall
CLASSIFICATION POLICY

Decision threshold 50%

10%90%

Changes confusion-matrix statistics and recall. It does not retrain the model or change its predicted probabilities.

GROUP AUDIT NOTE: Subgroup differences are descriptive and do not establish discrimination, explain its causes, or certify fairness.
REPRODUCIBILITY

Data & Methods

Bring a labeled dataset, inspect the methodology, and export an auditable report.

YOUR DATA

Import evaluation CSV

Load your own synthetic or appropriately authorized records. Files stay in this browser. The fixed illustrative model is not trained on imported data.

REPRODUCIBLE OUTPUTS

Export research artifacts

Includes model formula, local attributions, counterfactual plan, global permutation importance, group performance and data-source caveats.

EVALUATION PROTOCOL

Transparent by design

Scoring

Additive logistic model with fixed published coefficients and direct log-odds decomposition.

Validation

ROC AUC and Brier score on labeled records; undefined metrics are displayed as N/A.

Feature importance

Seeded repeated feature permutation and mean loss difference relative to the unchanged model.

Counterfactuals

Discrete grid search of 1-2 editable features. Search is approximate, not a guaranteed continuous global optimum.

Privacy

No server-side upload: all computations occur inside the browser session. Avoid entering sensitive data on public devices.

Limits

Demo models and labels are synthetic; scores are not suitable for operational, medical, hiring, or credit decisions.